Rice, the experts tell us,
Oryza sativa (Asian rice),
originated
in China thousands of years ago. From there it slowly spread across
the world, reaching Africa and joining its African cousin,
Oryza glaberrima, some time before
the Portuguese arrived
there in the fifteenth century. In the seventeenth century, so the
story goes, it was taken to North America and introduced to the US
state of South Carolina. Initially the rice was planted on
higher, dry ground (so-called uplands), but it was soon discovered that
rice did much better in wet areas and planting, by black slaves who
brought rice-growing skills from the West coast of Africa, was
transferred to lowland, swampy areas. According to the
South Carolina
Encyclopedia,
"By
the 1720s a rice industry had begun to develop.
Production became better established and systematic, and cultivation
relocated
from “high” ground to inland, freshwater swamps, where rudimentary
water-control mechanisms—such as impoundments—could be employed. After
1750 the
locus of production shifted again, this time to drained swamps on or
adjacent
to South Carolina’s major tidal rivers. The so-called tidal rice zone,
which
was to constitute the heart of the lowcountry rice industry, developed
within
narrow geographical and hydrological limits."
Here, Carolina rice became famous and by the 1770s
rice exports to
Europe grew to 30,000 tons. The work was arduous and unhealthy, in
the
waterlogged, mosquito-ridden swamps of the Carolinas and there was
fearsome mortality among the slaves, but plentiful profits for the
white slave masters. South Carolina's wealth was built on this
industry. Then in 1883 the North won the American civil war and
slavery was abolished. Overnight, the profitable Carolina rice industry
was jeopardized.
Meanwhile for decades Asian rice planters had
steadily
been building up their
production and export capability on similar swampy areas fed by
torrential Asian
monsoons. After the emancipation of American slaves the Asians
supplanted American production and the Carolina
rice industry ground to a halt.
But American agriculture refused to
give up, and bounced back some
decades later with a new rice model. Rather than using labor-intensive
techniques on difficult, swampy land, rice farmers shifted to
irrigation on firmer, flatter land, on which larger, heavier
agricultural equipment could be used. Production shifted from the
rain-fed, low-lying swamps of Carolina to expansive lands in
California, Arkansas and other states. Individual farms now were
hundreds of acres in size, with each farmer having massive
combine harvesters and other expensive capital equipment to the
tune of hundreds of thousands of dollars. It's perhaps not generally
appreciated in West Africa that the USA is a big player in the
international rice market. The US is not in the top 10 producers of
rice in the world, but because it produces
far more rice than it consumes it is the 5th or 6th largest rice
exporter
accounting
for more than 10 percent of the annual volume of global rice trade. But it
exports mainly to markets close to home or
those where it has special trade agreements, such as NAFTA, with
Mexico and Canada.
Meanwhile,
the Asian farmer has continued very competitive on his
swamp
land with small plots of a few acres in size, steadily increasing his
yield since the 1960s. The American farmer is
still more productive (>8 Metric Tons per hectare compared to >4
MT/ha
for the Asian) and can in good years earn a great deal more, although
he also faces the risk of huge losses in bad years. Overall, the Asian
farmer, with lower earnings, is more competitive in distant markets
like West Africa than is the American. And this is why we see much
Asian (Thai, Burmese, Vietnamese etc) rice on the free market in West
Africa but very little American (No, PL480 doesn't count). In some ways
this appears anomalous and counter-intuitive. We might expect the
producer with the greater capitalization to be more efficient and
competitive. But high American labour costs and huge interest costs on
expensive American farm equipment mean the Asian farmer can offer a
lower-priced product. This would perhaps make an interesting economic
case study - How does one determine the optimum level of farm capital
equipment in different economies? And what is the best way to assess
profit. Per farmer? (America wins) Per hectare of land ?
(uncertain
winner). Per kg of rice produced ? (Asia wins). And does this mean that
Asia could eventually capture the entire market?
Rice, by dint of its sheer global size, is a political commodity as
well as a fiercely competitive commercial one. The US government like
other governments seeks to protect its rice farmers and overseas rice
markets and negotiates trade agreements that include favorable
provisions for its domestic rice industry. It also provides price
supports (subsidies) for rice farmers when world prices fall below a
certain threshold. Asian governments may similarly provide subsidies
for their farmers. It's a dynamic competitive business, driven not just
by the free market but also by the dictates of governments. In the
2007-08 rice crisis, importing, exporting and producing countries
scrambled to respond to a world shortage and to ensure sufficient
supplies to feed their populations.
The American experience provides salutary lessons for West
Africa. In the face of competition and then the changed
environment after the Civil War, American rice production was forced to
shift technologically and physically, first from upland to
lowland and then to irrigated land hundreds of miles away. This was the
only way for the industry to remain competitive. Even with massive
investments in capital equipment, American rice still struggles to
compete with Asian swamp rice. In West Africa, where millions of
farmers toil
away at upland rice farming,
sometimes with yields less than 1 MT/ ha, and even those on swamp lands
achieve
considerably lower yields than the Asians, we are doomed to
agricultural poverty
unless we effect a shift in direction as radical as the US rice
industry managed to achieve. It's easy to calculate the West African
farmer's rice surplus/deficit. Assume a farmer with a family of six. In
the
high-rice-consumption
West African countries
(Guinea, Sierra Leone, Liberia, Guinea-Bissau), the family's annual
domestic rice consumption is approximately 600 Kg. Assume the
family
farms a 1 ha (2.5 acres approx) plot with yields less than 1
MT/ha.
The entire rice output is barely sufficient for the family's internal
consumption, never mind all the other expenses with which the family
would be faced. Consider the same family in Asia, achieving yields of 4
MT/ha. There is a comfortable surplus that can be sold, perhaps for
eventual export, to meet other
needs.
West Africa does have at least one example of the change that is
needed. Mali's Office du Niger was created by the French colonial
authorities for the purpose of managing an irrigated agricultural
scheme fed from the river Niger. Initially established for cotton
growing, and not without its trials over the years, the Office du Niger
now focusses on rice production. The area under irrigation (<100,000
ha) is not sufficient to make a really big impact on Mali's economic
situation, but according to FAO statistics
rice yields have been
achieved in Mali comparable to those in Asia. And despite being a
medium-rice-consumption country,
Mali
has the lowest per-capita rice
imports in West Africa. Importantly, the rice is being produced by
indigenes working on land to which they have some property rights. A
social revolution would be needed to replicate these results throughout
West Africa. There are only two forces on earth capable of
achieving
such a
herculean task: Government and the free market, preferably working in
tandem.