2018 UN Human Development Report - African
Analysis
The
UN 2018 Human Development Report has recently been released, with
results
for 2017. The release appears overdue, as the 2016 Human Development
Report, which we reviewed, came out in March, 2017, with results for
2015. We can not find a 2017 Human Development Report; it
appears delays in production have prompted the UN to skip issuance of
this. The report reveals very
similar results for Africa compared to the
2016 version we
reviewed last year.
In general, the indices change little from year
to
year, as is to be expected with such broad national indicators (indeed
any sharp jump from one year to the next should be cause for skepticism
and investigation). Most of
the comments we made in our 2016 review apply to this year's results.
Almost the same 22 African countries appear in the bottom 25 places
(Benin replaced by Comoros), joined as last time by Afghanistan, Yemen
and
Haiti. The highest climber in this bottom category was Guinea, which
moved up nine places from sixth from bottom to fifteenth from bottom,
with an increase of score from 0.414 to 0.459. This was achieved
largely by a reported increase in its GNI per capita from $1,058 in
2015 to $2,067 in 2017. If the HDRs are to be believed in this
statistic, this is a remarkable accomplishment.
The UN sets the threshold between Low- and Medium Human
Development at 0.550. It is an important psychological barrier. This
year Angola and Cameroon graduate into the Medium Human Development
category, joining South Africa, Egypt, Morocco, Cape Verde, Namibia,
Congo, Ghana, Equatorial Guinea, Kenya and Zambia. In line with our
observation in our last report, Botswana and Gabon have graduated from
this category into the High Human Development category (threshold
0.700) joining Libya, Tunisia, Algeria, Mauritius and Seychelles, with
the latter two not being far from the highest category, Very High Human
Development. The above-mentioned nineteen nations are the relative high
performers in the African
context. The rest, thirty-two in all, fall into the dreaded Low Human
Development category.
As with our last report, of the fifteen West African nations, thirteen
are in the Low Human Development
category. Ten of these countries, Niger, Burkina Faso, Guinea,
Sierra Leone, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Mali, Gambia, Cote d'Ivoire and
Togo are included in the bottom 25 nations. In this category, apart
from Guinea, mentioned above, other prominent climbers were Benin
(+0.030) and Guinea-Bissau(+0.031). Mali (-0.015) and Sierra Leone
(-0.001) recorded a decline in their human development score.
The HDI is an apparently sensitive measure of a country's human
development, with changes of the order of .1% measurable (.001 out of a
maximum of 1). The change in HDI from one year to the next reveals the
amount of progress a country has made in developing its human
potential. For the 15 West African countries, their absolute score and
change in score from 2015 to 2016 is indicated below.
Medium Human
Development - West Africa
2018
HDI
Change
in HDI from 2016
Cape Verde
0.654
+0.006
Ghana
0.592
+0.013
Low Human
Development - West Africa
2018 HDI
Change in HDI from 2016
Nigeria
0.532
+0.005
Benin
0.515
+0.030
Senegal
0.505
+0.011
Togo
0.503
+0.016
Cote d'Ivoire
0.492
+0.018
Gambia
0.460
0.008
Guinea
0.459
+0.045
Guinea-Bissau
0.455
+0.031
Liberia
0.435
+0.008
Mali
0.427
-0.015
Burkina Faso
0.423
+0.021
Sierra Leone
0.419
-0.001
Niger
0.354
+0.001
In the Very High Human Development
category, Norway (0.953), Switzerland (0.944) and Australia (0.939)
occupied the top three positions, as they did in our last report.
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UN Human Development Report - Africa Analysis)