7/5/2019
The Development Game - Specifics






(1) Growth rates are calculated assuming a  geometric series of the standard form a(1+r)n, where a is the initial member of the series, r is the growth rate as a decimal and n is time passed in years. In cases where the inital series member is zero, rendering growth calculation impossible, the first three series members are examined for non-zero value. If all are zero the figure "1111111" is reported. If the final series member is zero "1111111" is reported.

(2) Straight-line depreciation is used. A depreciation schedule is developed by calculating the yearly depreciation on each new capital equipment investment at the rate specified by the user. Thus, if a 10% depreciation rate is specified, the depreciation period is 100/10 = 10 years and the yearly depreciation for each new yearly capital equipment investment is 10% of the investment for the next 10 years. Similarly, for a 5% depreciation rate the yearly depreciation for each new yearly investment is 5% of the investment  spread out over 20 years from the date of the investment.  In case of non-integer depreciation periods, the remainder is calculated proportionally.  Once the depreciation period expires the investment is considered written off, and income from it also falls to zero. The initial starting capital (if any) is similarly depreciated.

(3) The entire population automatically earns a subsistence income. Above this, income is earned yearly from capital equipment until it is written off. For each new yearly capital equipment investment an income schedule similar to the depreciation schedule above is calculated. The return on investment multiplied by the investment is the annual income earned by that investment for the duration of the depreciation period, after which income falls to zero when book value falls to zero. Thus, if 5% depreciation is specified and a 10% return on investment, the income earned on each new capital equipment investment is 10% of the value of the investment for a period of twenty years. In other words 200% of the value of the investment is recovered as income. Thus depreciation and return on investment are directly comparable, one on the minus side, the other on the plus. Salvage income and operating income after write-off are assumed zero. It could be argued that this somewhat biases the game against growth.

(4) A portion of annual income is reinvested (the investment rate). Each new yearly capital investment adds to the current capital stock and contributes to the depreciation schedule and the income schedule as outlined above. Capital is assumed held communally and income divided equally among the village's population.

(5) Population growth rate is birth rate minus death rate. Only the difference between the two is used. Thus, for the purposes of the program 15% / 12% birth rate / death rate is identical to 4% / 1%. Migration is assumed zero.





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